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Macro Economic Indicators

Key macroeconomic indicators and trends.

Where is the Business Cycle?

Which season of the cycle are we in? Expanding (UP/Bullish) or Contracting (DOWN/Bearish)?

What are the Central Bank Rate Policy Trends?

Are 80+ international central banks hiking rates (fighting inflation) or cutting rates (preventing deflation)?

Where is the FED Rate vs Treasury Rate vs Yield Curve?

Is the FED above or below the shorter term treasury rates?

Where are the Inflation and Unemployment Targets?

Is PCE above or below ~2% FED inflation target? Is unemployment above or below ~4.4% target? FED rate need modified?

Where are the Money Markets? (Retail):

Are retail investors piling into money market funds?

Where is the Real Estate Supply Trending?

Are US Real Estate builders expanding or shrinking?

Where is the Real Estate Demand Trending?

Are US Real Estate buyers bidding or selling?

Where is the Consumer Sentiment Index?

What does the consumer think of the economy?
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